Public outrage has outpaced the regime ideologically, but not institutionally. The Islamic Republic endures because its security architecture is designed to absorb mass dissent without ceding power.
This is a good article and helpful to us here in the West, as we are not well-informed on a lot of the details mentioned here. And thank you for the references mentioned. It’s clear that there are no simple answers. But there is no human institution on this earth that is impervious to breakdown, and there never has been. All human institutions require maintenance, including democracy, but extreme and repressive institutions require extreme maintenance. That means they are a drain on human and material resources and waste energy. These systems may seem hard to break, but systems do break down and the causes are often multifactorial. (What is harder to break down and probably never will be. is hope and the human spirit. Even fear-based systems never seem to be able to totally eradicate those and sometimes those things lead to creative solutions that we might not be able to imagine.) Sometimes “God holds a man or woman in readiness,” as someone once said, or, if you will, sometimes someone appears for whatever reason from inside or outside the system. Sometimes it’s a group effort, or both. Sometimes serendipity comes into play. Sometimes opportunities must be seized and always attention must be paid. One way or another totally repressive regimes do not last. Thank you for your contribution in this respect, and I would like more!!
We are all praying for a good resolution and a free Iran. Been following the situation for 15 or so years it’s so sad. The regular press in England just doesn’t get it or seemingly even bother to put out proper coverage. Thank you so much.
The authors have attempted to describe the contours of a “well-oiled” machine of internal state suppression.
It is an axiom that any machine needs to have “fuel” I.e., cash to pay for salaries and “oil” for maintenance and service (street fatigue, societal pressures and internal fissures)
The Islamic Republic machine will soon suffer irretrievably from lack of maintenance.
No machine can sustain overheating. This will happen.
If I were an advisor, I would advise select street level eliminations of those elements of the state that serve as nodes…
This is a good article and helpful to us here in the West, as we are not well-informed on a lot of the details mentioned here. And thank you for the references mentioned. It’s clear that there are no simple answers. But there is no human institution on this earth that is impervious to breakdown, and there never has been. All human institutions require maintenance, including democracy, but extreme and repressive institutions require extreme maintenance. That means they are a drain on human and material resources and waste energy. These systems may seem hard to break, but systems do break down and the causes are often multifactorial. (What is harder to break down and probably never will be. is hope and the human spirit. Even fear-based systems never seem to be able to totally eradicate those and sometimes those things lead to creative solutions that we might not be able to imagine.) Sometimes “God holds a man or woman in readiness,” as someone once said, or, if you will, sometimes someone appears for whatever reason from inside or outside the system. Sometimes it’s a group effort, or both. Sometimes serendipity comes into play. Sometimes opportunities must be seized and always attention must be paid. One way or another totally repressive regimes do not last. Thank you for your contribution in this respect, and I would like more!!
Fantastic analysis thank you so much
Thank you for reading
We are all praying for a good resolution and a free Iran. Been following the situation for 15 or so years it’s so sad. The regular press in England just doesn’t get it or seemingly even bother to put out proper coverage. Thank you so much.
The authors have attempted to describe the contours of a “well-oiled” machine of internal state suppression.
It is an axiom that any machine needs to have “fuel” I.e., cash to pay for salaries and “oil” for maintenance and service (street fatigue, societal pressures and internal fissures)
The Islamic Republic machine will soon suffer irretrievably from lack of maintenance.
No machine can sustain overheating. This will happen.
If I were an advisor, I would advise select street level eliminations of those elements of the state that serve as nodes…